San Diego Real Estate - San Diego Homes Sale

Foreclosure Homes In San Diego Update

 

San Diego foreclosure properties for saleSan Diego foreclosures have been a huge source of activity for the San Diego real estate market.  Recent reports show an average of 30 to 40 percent homes sold in the region as foreclosure properties.  But the number of foreclosures in San Diego County has actually declined in 2010 by about 5%.  And the number of foreclosure homes for sale in San Diego dropped by 20.88% in the nine months ending September 2010, compared to the same period in 2009.  So what’s going on?

First, banks have received considerable pressure to rework mortgages for distressed home owners rather than proceed directly to foreclosure.  This has been true since the beginning of the Obama Administration.  It took nearly two years, but banks have definitely made an effort to modify mortgages, and their systems have become more streamlined in the past year.  San Diego foreclosures are definitely less frequent than they otherwise would have been.

Second, the number of San Diego foreclosure homes for sale has lagged behind the actual number of foreclosures.  This disparity reflects the “shadow inventory” of foreclosures in San Diego and throughout the United States.  Many banks decided that it makes more sense for them to hold onto a portion of their foreclosed properties rather than immediately bring them to market.  Analysts predict that prices will rise in the intermediate term (the median price of San Diego homes has already increased by about 5% in the past 12 months).  So the banks in many cases decided that it is better to hold on to the properties in hopes of selling at a higher price in the future.

Third, there are rumors that there will be an increase of foreclosures properties for sale in San Diego County starting around November 15, 2010.  This is just a rumor, but possibly more credible than rumors in the recent past.  Several banks have been calling the REO listing agents around town and telling them to staff up for the coming release of foreclosure listings.

But on the other side of the coin, the news in the past week is that there is again pressure from Washington D.C. to implement another moratorium on foreclosures.  This is in response to allegations that some banks have been “rubber stamping” foreclosure documents, resulting in some foreclosure actions against mortgage holders who are current on their loan payments.  Bank of America is the only large bank in California to voluntarily implement a moratorium until their administrative processing issues have been resolved.  It remains to be seen whether other banks will voluntarily follow suit, or whether another moratorium will be mandated from the Federal Government.

If you are considering purchasing a new home in San Diego County, or for the names of qualified new home buyers’ agents anywhere in the United States or Canada, call Geoffrey Schiering at Keller Williams Realty 619-200-7612.

 

Copyright © By Geoffrey Schiering 2010*Foreclosure Homes In San Diego Update*

 

 

Geoffrey Schiering (J.D./M.B.A. Broker/Realtor).  San Diego homes sale leader since 1999. Specializing in San Diego luxury homes transactions in La Jolla, Del Mar, Carmel Valley and Rancho Santa Fe. The Schiering Team provides world-class service to buyers and sellers of houses, condos, and investment properties throughout San Diego County. Call 619-200-7612

San Diego Houses Rise Again in the Case Shiller Index

Standard & Poor's Case Shiller Index was just released for April. It shows San Diego houses have increased in value for each of the past 12 consecutive months, through April 30.  The index is always two months behind, so that's their most recent report. So today's big news in San Diego real estate isn't really such big news.  We've been talking about it for the past year. 

Houses For Sale In San Diego, CASan Diego homes were second to San Franciso in terms of appreciation.  San Francisco showed a 12-month increase of 18 percent.  San Diego was 11.7 percent.  Minneapolis 9.5 percent.  Cleveland 6.8%.  Eleven of the twenty major metro areas in the US are now up for the year ending April, and nine are still down.  The largest drop during that twelve month period was Las Vegas. Still falling.

I reviewed the house price index methodology and talk about it on my San Diego real estate blog.  I really can't find any fault with the methodology.  It's the same methodology used by the fedreal government for many real estate market studies.  They compare prices of resale homes that have the same general characteristics.  They attempt to exclude properties that have been improved or renovated since the last sale, and they exclude properties that have been flipped by investors.  And only arm's-length transactions are considered, so houses that are transferred between family members are also excluded.

Of the twenty metropolitan areas tracked in the index, all twenty showed price increases between the March and April index.  This could easily have been a runup related to the $8,000 tax credit.  But San Diego is the only city that has posted increases in each of the past twelve months.  Hard to believe that that's solely related to the tax credit.

No, I really think that there is sufficient demand for san diego homes to support prices at their current levels. This is particularly true at the entry level, though there's still going to be some downward pressure at the top end.  I wouldn't, however, count on 11.7percent a year, and the appreciation rate will probably even drop by the end of the year.  Something in the 4 to 6 percent range is much more likely.

Geoffrey Schiering (J.D./M.B.A. Broker/Realtor).  San Diego homes sale leader since 1999. Specializing in San Diego luxury homes transactions in La Jolla, Del Mar, Carmel Valley and Rancho Santa Fe. The Schiering Team provides world-class service to buyers and sellers of houses, condos, and investment properties throughout San Diego County. Call 619-200-7612